Aug 19 2008
Rackspace WAS SET UP — A study in motivation
Rackspace began trading 11 days ago as of this writing …my analysis.
At HostingCon, during one of the panels the speaker brought up the Rackspace IPO, he bet the strike price would be $14 – sounds good to me – Another panel member piped in confidently “I bet it’s $12” – sounds good to me.
We all enjoy the water cooler, on stage you have to say something memorable. Now we know that Rackspace is trading around $10 - about a 20% drop from the IPO day. The sky is falling. Regardless of the first few baby steps Rackspace is still a good company, still good price and was a good deal. Unless you actually bought at the IPO price (sorry by the say) you don’t care.
One of my clients called, he had reviewed the Rackspace IPO. He told me that Rackspace sold for 4plus X 2007 revenues; this is a valuation – sounds good to me.
Actually my client fully recognizes the Rackspace value does not apply to his company. Even though the product lines are almost identical, how do you compare a $6 million firm with Rackspace at $500 million? Don’t spend too much time doing this exercise.
One of the articles I reviewed for this in-depth analysis wondered why Rackspace went public in this down market. It stated Rackspace has some great investors like Norwest Venture Partners and Sequoia Capital suggesting they should have advised otherwise – I guess they let Rackspace down.
That’s not the venture capital groups’ job. Their job is to take risk and obtain reward. The Investors cashed out, nothing wrong with that. You can’t stay in forever. They took a bet on Rackspace management and vice-versa.
Should not the underwriters (Goldman, Sachs, Credit Suisse et al) advised Rackspace management to hold off the IPO in this down market? Ethics battle – Aristotle vs. Kierkegaard
I can see the meeting now..."...markets off a bit – of yes Rackspace, should we consider moving back…"
Did you know that most of the underwriter’s fees come from pushing that $1 billion in stock out the back door?
This is now history. All motivations have subsided. It was a good deal as all parties, including the new shareholders who got what they bargained for.
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